It’s been a dizzying offseason in the NFL, to say the least. We’ve seen blockbuster trades, retirements, unretirement, and some interesting moves at the draft. Now that the dust has settled, it’s time to look at how all of these transactions will play out in the sports betting world, particularly the futures market.
A couple of former MVP quarterbacks have suddenly found themselves without their favorite weapons – we’re looking at you, Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes. In contrast, others like Jalen Hurts, Derek Carr, and Tua Tagovailoa have acquired shiny new toys.
In Maryland, all eyes will be on Lamar Jackson. The Baltimore QB won the MVP Award in 2019, and will be looking to add another. Sports fans in the state can place their MVP bets at five Maryland casinos while the state continues to wait for mobile betting apps.
The MVP race will have fluctuating odds all season long, but it’s always fun to try and take advantage of some juicy odds before the season starts. Let’s see where the field stands right now.
2022 NFL MVP Odds
It’s no surprise to see quarterbacks as the favorites, as QB is often deemed the most important position in sports. In fact, the NFL MVP has been a QB in 14 of the last 15 years.
At the moment, Josh Allen is the consensus favorite across the board (+700), with Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, Justin Herbert, and Aaron Rodgers rounding out the top five.
It’s hard to imagine that Allen was once looking like he might be heading to Bustville. Not only has the Buffalo QB completely flipped that narrative, but he’s now an MVP favorite just a few years later. Allen has a cannon for an arm, but he can get it done with his legs as well. Last year, he led the Bills to an 11-6 record while throwing for 4,407 yards, 36 TDs, and 15 picks. He also rushed for 763 yards, adding six more end zone trips on the ground.
But maybe most impressive was his playoff performance. Although the Bills lost an epic heartbreaker to the Chiefs, Allen threw for nine TDs and no interceptions in the postseason.
It says a lot that Mahomes is still considered a top-two MVP candidate after losing arguably the most dynamic receiver in the league. There’s no doubt that Mahomes is the kind of QB that likes to spread the ball around, but losing Tyreek Hill would be hard to overcome for anyone. The good news is that he still has Travis Kelce and a play-calling genius in Andy Reid. But will Mecole Hardman, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling be enough support to help him earn his second MVP?
It would have been nice to have had the guts to put money on Tom Brady to win the MVP when he retired, and his odds inflated to +4500. Because, let’s face it, was there ever a doubt that he’d be back?
Brady was a legitimate MVP candidate last season, and there was indeed a case that could have been made for him to have taken home the hardware. The GOAT threw for 5,316 yards with 43 touchdowns and just 12 picks. We’ve certainly seen worse numbers win the most valuable player. Expect the soon-to-be 45-year-old to be right back in the mix this year.
Last year, Justin Herbert made waves on the Californian coast and quickly catapulted himself into elite-QB status. Just two seasons into the league, the 24-year-old is playing at a level beyond his years. He’s got a solid supporting cast around him with the sure-handed Keenan Allen and deep-threat Mike Williams, and this could be the year he takes the team to the next level.
The Oregon-native has piled up 9,350 yards with 69 TDs and 25 interceptions in his short career.
Aaron Rodgers might be the person affected most by the flurry of off-season moves around the NFL. The back-to-back MVP-winner is now facing football post-Devante Adams, a hole that will be impossible to fill.
In the past two years, Adams has caught 238 passes from Rodgers, and it’s tough to see the next man up, Allen Lazard, having anywhere near that production.
The Packers did take wide receiver Christian Watson with the 34th overall pick in the NFL Draft, but it will take some time to groom the talented young wideout.
Is There Value With Lamar Jackson?
Lamar Jackson is looking like a sneaky pick with odds hovering between +2000 and +2500 as of May 27.
Let’s not forget that all this guy does is win. Although the Baltimore Ravens missed the playoffs for the first time in Jackson’s career last season, he still holds a 37-12 record as a starter and is just three years removed from being named the league’s MVP.
He’ll be without one of his favorite targets after losing Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, but he still has TE stud Mark Andrews, and Rashod Bateman should take a leap forward this year.
A healthy Lamar Jackson always has a shot as the league’s top player, so there could be excellent value here.
AP Photo/Nick Wass