One of the many season-long NFL props available is picking the highest-scoring team. Bettors select who they believe will aggregate the highest total points across the regular season. Touchdowns, field goals, extra points, safeties — whichever team has most of them over their 17 games will take the prop bet.
The Baltimore Ravens have already accomplished this feat back in 2019. How do their odds compare to other franchises coming into 2021? Can the offense step things up after a slight regression a season ago?
Reviewing The Baltimore Offense
Lamar Jackson and the Running Attack
Baltimore’s offense is fueled by one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. Lamar Jackson holds a 30-7 record as the team’s starter. He poses a constant threat on the ground and with his arm, even if that success slightly dipped last year. 2019 would be hard to replicate, rushing for 1,206 yards and 7 touchdowns while also completing a 36-to-6 touchdown-to-interception ratio in the air.
Part of the decrease was simply his due for regression from an incredible year. It was also opposing teams planning their defense around his game. This led to the running backs getting more utilization. Overall, the rushing efficiency ranked fourth overall in the league, as did their third down and red zone offense.
Running back J.K. Dobbins ended up being the lead back in the second half of 2020. He ended the season with 5.8 yards per carry on 153 rushes and 10 touchdowns. Gus Edwards had a slight dropoff in attention until the final few games. He was still able to get over 700 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns.
Can Sammy Watkins and Rashod Bateman Jumpstart the Receiving Corps?
Only two players saw a substantial amount of targets from Lamar Jackson last season. Mark Andrews is the famed tight end and most reliable option in the red zone. Marquise Brown was the lead wide receiver with the most targets and led with eight touchdowns. Both players grabbed 58 receptions and over 700 receiving yards each.
The passing game needs to have a boost after a mediocre showing. Defenses will continue to plan around and limit Jackson’s running threat. Sammy Watkins will begin his eighth season with a fourth NFL team. He was part of an assortment of receiving weapons in Kansas City and could potentially be the leading threat with Baltimore.
Rashod Bateman was the Ravens’ top draft pick this year. He’s expected to have an immediate impact in the passing attack. The standout receiver from Minnesota is coming off a brief but strong final season. He eclipsed over 100 yards in three of five games. During his sophomore season, Bateman hauled in 60 catches for 1,219 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns.
Analyzing High-Scoring Odds For Baltimore
DraftKings Sportsbook and PointsBet have the Ravens near the top of the high-scoring list with odds at +1400. Four teams are listed above them, and Kansas City holds the most favorable of +550 or better. Other teams to consider ahead of them are the fast-paced Buffalo Bills and Aaron Rodgers making a return to Green Bay.
The Ravens were never high on the scoring spectrum until Lamar Jackson led the way in 2019. Baltimore was the highest-scoring team by a comfortable margin. They finished with 531 total points, a whopping 52 points higher than the second-place San Francisco 49ers.
What makes the team favorable for scoring is their stellar running game and the reliable red zone target of Andrews. The question will be how often can they attempt to score? Baltimore doesn’t have the toughest strength of schedule, but they will see stronger defenses in the passing game compared to last season.
Sports Betting Recommendation
It’s worth considering taking the Baltimore offense to be the highest-scoring team in the NFL in 2021. Lamar Jackson easily led his team to the achievement in 2019. Even with rushing regression and a mediocre passing attack, they had the seventh-highest scoring offense with 468 total points. By comparison, that was less than a touchdown difference to Kansas City.
The first half of the schedule is fairly weak outside of the Week 2 contest against the high-flying Chiefs. Many of the teams they face have struggled in defending the run. The Ravens have the capability to exploit that considering their successful history under John Harbaugh.