J.K. Dobbins AP Comeback Player of the Year Odds

The Comeback Player of the Year award is a bit wacky.

It’s typically given to a player that overcomes a certain amount of adversity from the previous year, but that can include anything from a gruesome injury (Alex Smith), a poor statistical season (Ryan Tannehill), or even a prison sentence (Michael Vick).

Joe Burrow took home the honor in 2021 after he returned from a blown-out knee and led the Cincinnati Bengals to their first Super Bowl since 1988. This year, Baltimore Ravens’ running back J.K. Dobbins is in the conversation, coming off a torn ACL he suffered in the final preseason game last year. He had an impressive rookie campaign the year before, running for 805 yards on 134 attempts (6.0 YPC), and will look to pick up where he left off.

Can Dobbins win Comeback Player of the Year and help the Ravens make a Super Bowl run of their own? Let’s look at the odds at various sportsbooks.

J.K. Dobbins Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Derrick Henry, TEN+400+400+400+450
Jameis Winston, NO+500+550+500+500
Christian McCaffrey, CAR+800+750+750+900
Baker Mayfield, CAR+1200+800+1200+1000
Michael Thomas, NO+1600+800+1400+1800
J.K. Dobbins, BAL+2500+1400+2500+2500

This year’s favorites

Unsurprisingly, the Comeback Player of the Year award goes to a quarterback more often than not. A QB has won the last four years and 10 out of the previous 13. The last running back to take home the honor was Garrison Hearst in 2001, but that hasn’t stopped oddsmakers from favoring Tennessee’s Derrick Henry this year.

Derrick Henry, Tennessee RB

The sportsbooks expect King Henry to bounce back this year putting the RB out front with the shortest odds at around +400. Henry was on a ridiculous pace last year and was likely to record his second straight 2,000-yard season until his health betrayed him.

The behemoth back ran for 937 yards and 10 touchdowns in eight games before he was sidelined with a broken bone in his foot. He led the league in rushing yards and touchdowns the previous two seasons before his injury, and if he does it again this year, there’s a strong chance he will take home the CPOY award.

Baker Mayfield, Carolina QB

Everyone loves a good story, and Mayfield’s tale has no shortage of drama. The former Cleveland Browns QB has earned the starting role for the Carolina Panthers and is looking to turn his career around after a year of turmoil in the Dawg Pound.

Mayfield played through injury last season and had a steep drop off from his previous season when he threw for 3,563, 26 touchdowns, and eight interceptions while leading the Browns to a Wild Card win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. He’ll face his old team in Week 1 and will hope to exact a little revenge to kickstart his season.

Jameis Winston, New Orleans QB

Another victim of the dreaded ACL tear, Winston’s season was cut short in Week 8 last year. The polarizing quarterback was putting together a tidy season until the injury, throwing 14 TDs and three interceptions through seven games.

This year, he’ll have a revamped offensive line to protect him, as well as the triumphant return of WR Michael Thomas after a two-year absence. The Saints also added star slot receiver Jarvis Landry and selected dynamic wideout Chris Olave in the draft’s first round. All the pieces are in place for Winston to come back strong this year.

Does J.K. Dobbins have a realistic shot?

All signs are pointing to Dobbins returning in time for Week 1, and if that happens, the former Ohio State Buckeye has a chance to put up a monster season. Dobbins looked like a star in the making in his rookie year and was primed to explode last year before the injury turned those plans upside down.

A 1,500-yard rushing season isn’t unrealistic for the Houston native in Baltimore’s run-heavy offense, and if he produces anything close to the six yards per carry that he did in his rookie season, the sky’s the limit this year. But to take home the CPOY award, he’ll have to do something that no running back has done in 20 years, and he’ll also have to outperform Henry.

Maryland aims to launch online sportsbooks by the Super Bowl, but for now, sports bets can be placed in person at five casinos and at Bingo World in Baltimore.

AP Photo/Nick Wass

About the Author

Ryan Hagen

Ryan Hagen is a freelance writer for Maryland Sharp. He’s spent most of his career writing in roles that have ranged from copywriter at a boutique ad agency to corporate communications at a large oil firm. His true passion is sports, and he’s now been writing in the sports gaming industry for the last couple of years. He enjoys sports betting and usually bets a little too much when he loses and not quite enough when he wins.